Looking at the future for
Private Equity and Investors
OVERVIEW \ Private Equity
The world of office investments is on the precipice of major change. We advise our private and institutional equity clients to plan for what is coming next and how to protect what they have now.
An industry whose foundational model is grounded in long-term, high credit “bond yields” accrued from traditional leases in a very low churn environment is under assault. These markets are not driven by supply-siders, but in response the needs of the end-user customer who will always vote with their feet—and whose operational needs / priorities are very different than in the past. Even before the pandemic, trends were in place tolling the bell on these traditional models.
End-user customers are embracing the native attributes of agile products such as plug-and-play models with inherently shorter fixed commitments. Underwriting “office investment” will require evolution around changes in credit attributes, capital intensity, increased customer turnover (more akin to multi-family apartment churn rather than hospitality churn velocities) and value some level of business services above and beyond lobby guards, and basic life support to the individual spaces.
This fresh new perspective and a lens on the future is why AOR is leading the way through investment and portfolio restructuring conversations inside the changing commercial real estate ecosystem.
AOR helped to unlock thought leadership from the key stakeholders, working closely with senior management on the architecture for the “2.0 version” of their operations, portfolio composition and asset management model. Target improvement areas were expanded NOIs, improved ROIs and increased asset value via enhanced, premium cap rate treatment on divestiture. Target for realizing improvement was within an 18-to-24-month window from program launch.
An owner/operator with a 25+ MM square foot portfolio of office assets distributed over a variety of sunbelt markets, was realizing average performance and returns. Their goal was to unlock the Company’s intrinsic value but had been unsuccessful. AOR facilitated an attractive divestiture to an offshore private equity firm achieving stakeholder objectives.
Often tapped for our opinion on which market when, AOR is a team of thought leaders always looking and advising on what is coming next for the office sector.
We apply research-based decision to support our work. Looking further and deeper and asking the questions that need the answers the most.
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